Saturday, June 9, 2007

The Defense Rests

Last week, the magic number was 27.5%. That was our shooting percentage again NY. This weekend, it's 62.3% and 52.2, the game shooting percentages of the LA Sparks and Seattle Storm against our hapless Lynx ladies. Just as a low shooting percentage won't win you many games, neither will allowing a high shooting percentage. That the Lynx kept it close in LA and was in it to the end was the stuff of moral victories, but with the Seattle loss, it's just another indication of how far this club has to go before it can reach mere competence.

Let's start with the positives though; on offense, they are shooting and sharing better. I can only believe this is because of the insertion of Abrosimova and Raymond--when healthy--into the rotation. (Raymond was a DNP last night; I don't have any information on her status.) Though those two are huge disappointments in terms of being impact players, they play the game the right way, having come from a great UConn program. The increases are also a result of the team simply knowing each other better.

Consistent mid to high 40 percent shooting might get the job done--if your defense is sound. Here's where the rub is. To put it bluntly--we're terrible. The Lynx are the worst in the league in FG percentage allowed (49%), and second in points per game allowed (82.6 ppg).

The negatives continue to be overwhelming. Two key players on offense, Harding and Ohlde, are shooting in the mid 30's, percentage wise. That ranks them 53rd and 54th in the league in shooting percentage. Nicole is shooting 33% so far for the year.
For a post player, this is terrible. By comparison Christi Thomas--the Sparks center--is shooting 62.5% for the season. A small sampling of other front court players in the WNBA, as of Saturday, June 9th:

Tangela Smith/Phoenix -.425
Jessica Davenport/New York -.476
Margo Dydek/Connecticut - .450
Cheryl Ford/Detroit -.550
Swin Cash/Detroit - .563
Chasity Melvin/Chicago -.346
Michelle Snow/Houston -.594
Lauren Jackson/Seattle - .441
Janell Burse/Seattle - .474

The front office apparently made the determination before the season started that Ohlde would be THE front court go-to player, and team up with Augustus and Harding to be the "Big Three" on the squad. In the last few years they allowed Janell Burse and Adrian Williams to move to other teams. To date, this has proven to be a major front office error, especially with Burse, who has improved in Seattle.

Ohlde is second in scoring with 13.2 a game and third on the team in shots and minutes played with 112 and 260, respectively, as of 6/9, before the Seattle game. She's 54th in FG percentage, 24th in the league in rebounding and 51st in efficiency, for essentially the third wheel and primary front court player for the Lynx. The simple fact is that if a post player plays that many minutes and shoots that much the production and efficiency has to be better. She's been a career low to mid 40's percentage shooter, so I assume the thought is she'll get better as the team develops, but we've seen the same inconsistency and lack of development for three years. Much like the Wolves with Mark Blount, there seems to be a high level of cluelessness about the quality of bigs on Glen Taylor run basketball operations.

I'm not picking on Olhde personally. This is more about personnel management--what pieces a team needs to build a winner. Harding has also been very inconsistent. That she's a rookie and comes from a great basketball pedigree gives her some cover for now, but SA was beginning to rip up the league at this time in her rookie season. Last night Harding was 1 for 8 with only 3 assists in 26 minutes of play. As much as a winning team needs an effective front court, the point guard position is also key. Again, similar to the men's team, we invest heavily in a point guard who so far hasn't cut it. The difference between Mike James and Lindsey Harding is obviously Harding still has tremendous potential, while James is who he is.

The bottom line is here that objectively speaking, one would think a team with two overall league number one's and three team first round picks in their starting rotation would have more than one win, despite their youth. With one of the league's top scorers, you would think that one way to help a younger team build confidence is to focus on defense, developing the potential for easy baskets and transition scoring, especially from Augustus. She didn't have it going last night, which gave the Lynx no shot in the game whatsoever, especially after the 2nd and 3rd quarters. Playing
consistent quality team defense is more a matter of effort than talent. That the Lynx coaching staff is not able to coax any swagger out of this team--given the college programs they've come from--speaks louder than anything I could write or say.

25 comments:

torey said...

Let's see, Burse, Lennox, Sam, Buescher and Smith. All former Lynx players who were traded who have gone on to win WNBA championships with their new team.
Seems the easiest way to assure a championship is to be a Former Lynx.

I have gone from attending every game during the season to attending only one or two-when there is a visiting team that I want to see play.

The Katie Smith trade will go down as the worst trade in WNBA history. We will never have any resemblance of a championship caliber team with the management that we have in place with the Lynx. They all need to be traded!

Anonymous said...

torey

your absolutley correct in your assesment of the management and i will trow in the coach as the problem. The team has no heart. They are in very poor shape which means no defense intensity. They all stand around on both ends of the court with their arms hanging by their sides. Nobody plays hard but if you ask they would tell you other wise. There best bet is to tank the season and get either Parker or Fowles. Then tank the GM and the coach and hire someone who can get the Lynxs the play hard on both ends of the court

Anonymous said...

[quote]In the second quarter alone, Connecticut’s shooting percentage went from 50% at the end of the first to 41.2% at halftime, making only 6 of 18 shots. The scoring total for the Sun was only 12 points in the quarter, as they also turned the ball over 6 times.

On the Lynx side, the shooting percentage went from a measly 25% in the first quarter to 38.5% at the half due to a 10 of 19 shooting second quarter. Minnesota’s 25 second quarter points were due to the newly-found ball movement, which led to 9 assists in the ten minute quarter. [/quote]

From http://minnesotabasketball.blogspot.com/

Sidenote: The latest article also has interviews with Coach Z and Seimone Augustus.

Seems pretty good to me. Of course, can't just show up sometimes and not other times but hopefully, this latest win over CT will give the Lynx the added edge going into the Sat. game against LA -- which the Lynx lost to by only 3 points in the last go around. And Chamique Holdsclaw -- phenomenal player that she is -- has retired now so that might be an added bonus for the Lynx.

I think Seattle matches up very, very badly for Lynx. Lynx seems to run 2 guards and 3 forwards basically. Ohlde has been doing the best she can - pretty good in comparison to last year, no? - but the way Lynx is set up won't beat Seattle with their 3 centers and a world-class caliber player in Jackson. IMO, the Lynx have the same problem that PHX has with Seattle (although granted, Phx probably has an overall better team in terms of raw talent, not withstanding the PHX loss to MN).

You might also find it interesting to read the post game quotes from Coach T of CT Sun on the Lynx.

Anonymous said...

Add on to my previous post:

I hope you don't mind, Peter, but I posted a link to your blog on a board I read ( http://boards.rebkell.net/viewtopic.php?t=28890 ). I thought it ended up a decent discussion.

Thanks for the blogs. Always interesting to read them.

Anonymous said...

""... In the last few years they allowed Janell Burse and Adrian Williams to move to other teams. To date, this has proven to be a major front office error, especially with Burse, who has improved in Seattle.""

Ha, were to start; Really we don't miss A. Williams that much. Her Randy Moss approach to the gm (to play if she feels like it) I don't miss. She's a high paid reserve who currently aint contributing much. Snow, not the most consistant either & half the fans in H-town would consider trading her for another model. When you want to point to post who have improved & developed, consider who they play with and/or are coached by. JB has LJ and a coach who was one of the best post players to ever play. Ford, Cash & co. coached by the Bad Boys duo. C. Thomas has played 3 yrs w/LLL and is not expected to be option #1, 2 or 3 (well maybe #3 now that Claw is gone).

Anyway, point of observation being SMS & Co. did jack as far a developing any players during her stay. Players don't just get better by themselves. Ohlde has never played w/any quality experienced post or had any real post coaching since she's been here that I know of.

I'm not bagging this coaching staff yet. The team is executing & playing better defense since picking up their 1st win. If this staff can just help Ohlde get back to where she was her rookie yr that will be progress over the past few yrs.

As for the person who says:
""There best bet is to tank the season and get either Parker or Fowles.""

Thank goodness they aren't the caoch or GM. Didn't know that the lotto would allow us an either/or option.Play to win no matter how out matched they might appear to be and pass on the Danny Ainge method of tanking.

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